• Mobine Abd-Al-Khaliq

Swarm AI delivers an AI-Optimized Forecast for 92nd Oscars

All eyes turned to Hollywood for the 92nd Academy Awards.

Swarm AI took a new approach to its annual Oscar forecast, incorporating multiple swarms over a number of weeks to produce an AI-optimized set of predictions. Dr. Rosenberg, CEO of Unanimous AI, described this approach as a “‘swarm of swarms’ that functions as a super-intelligent hive mind” in order to produce its most accurate forecast yet.


Of course, that’s a high bar to clear, as previous Oscar predictions via Swarm AI have been remarkably successful, including a 94% accuracy rate that beat all experts on record.


Below is a complete breakdown of all of the major awards and the predictions.


With so many Oscar-worthy films that came out in 2020, these predictions only made 2 mishaps in the Best Director and Best Picture category.


The only misses were:

Best Director – Bong Joon Ho (Parasite)

Best Picture – Parasite


Here also is a look at how the Swarm AI system analyzes the information it gathers during our Oscar forecasting sessions. This Support Density map registers the relative sentiment into the most and least likely candidates for the Best Director Oscar in one of the discrete responses that comprise the “swarm of swarms.” As you can see, support for Sam Mendes and 1917 is clearly dominant in this instance, although both Todd Philips (JOKER) and Quentin Tarantino (ONCE UPON A TIME…IN HOLLYWOOD) received a modicum of early support.


Here is another way of looking at how the Swarm AI system ranks the probable chances.


For each of the four major categories. This “spider chart” shows that 1917 is given a 46% chance of winning Best Picture (with Parasite as runner-up with 26.36%), a noteworthy percentage in a field of nine contenders. Similarly, that both Renee Zellweger and Joaquin Phoenix are hovering around 61% to win Best Actress and Best Actor establishes them as heavy, heavy favorites.


Get in touch


If you think we might be able to help predict future drivers for your goods or service and what is the best direction for you to take your brand – please contact our Founder Sidi Lemine at sidi@jade-kite.com. We all love talking about insight as much as we do about films, and we’re passionate about finding the best way for you to make use of Swarm!



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